Spreads courtesy of the Friday New York Post. HOME team in CAPS.
Last week 5- 6- 2
Season 41- 41- 7
Games I would wager on if in Vegas.
Jets (+6.5) over BENGALS: Seems like too many points given by a team that plays no defense.
Steelers (-3.5) over BRONCOS: Steelers kicked the snot out of Seattle before the bye week and now get most of their injured players back. The Broncos do not look good on either side of the ball and will be without Javon Walker.
Rams (+8.5) over SEAHAWKS: The Rams will probably have Bulger back at QB and are also getting healthy on the O-line. Seattle has shown very little the past few weeks in terms of talent or heart. I don’t feel confident picking Seattle to win this game outright at this point, never mind the large line.
Games I think I know what I am talking about.
Patriots (-16.5) over DOLPHINS: Only scary part of this spread is that Brady has never really excelled in Miami. However, this is a Patriot team looking to destroy all teams on their schedule and Miami has Cleo Lemon at QB who looked razzed at times against a poor Brown defense last week.
EAGLES (-5.5) over Bears: I had predicted these two teams to meet in the NFC championship game. Whoever loses this game will probably not make the playoffs. The Eagles are a bit more balanced on both sides of the ball right now and are at home.
Chiefs (+2.5) over RAIDERS: I hate the fact that I am picking the Chiefs. I am not sold on Cullpepper at all right now, the Chiefs are running the ball well and playing solid defense.
Colts (-3) JAGUARS: I can smell a 24-10 Colt halftime lead. The Colts are rested, have their offensive stars healed after the bye week and are the better team. I do not think the 4-1 Jaguar record is an indication of their abilities. They lost to the only solid team they played , Titans, and were fortunate in victories against the Falcons and Chiefs. Besides, the Colts and Pats are destined to play their game later in the season both undefeated.
Games that I would stay away from:
Falcons (+9) over SAINTS: I think the Saints will win, but they are poor against the run and Leftwich is a smart QB that will make the Falcons a better team
Ravens (-3) over BILLS: Throw all analysis out the window when the Bills are at home.
TEXANS (+1.5) over Titans: The Texan defense should be able to control the game, especially if Collins is QB for the Titans.
Vikings (+9.5) over COWBOYS: I like to look at the games for the week and before looking at the line, trying to guess the line. My guess for this game was Vikings
+5.5. The Cowboys are a bit overrated, especially when you take their defense into account.
Buccaneers (+2) over LIONS: The Lions are so erratic right that I would stay away from their games. The Bucs are winning with defense and Garcia is playing at a very high level. The addition of Bennett will help their running game.
The If games- These are 2 games that have injury issues that are important, will be game time decisions, and swing my picks from the favorite to the underdog depending on if they are playing or not.
If QB Smith plays for the 49ers 49ers (+9) over GIANTS
If QB Smith does not play GIANTS (-9) over 49ers
If QB Warner plays for the Cardinals Cards (+8.5) over REDSKINS
If QB Warner does not play REDSKINS (-8.5) over Cards
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3 comments:
Hey Angry one, QB Smith is brutal anyway. SF made a big mistake when they drafted him instead of Braylon Edwards coming out of college.
Good thing you weren't in Vegas.
I would only bet about 50 a game so I would not lose much there. I'd be more worried about some donkey calling me on the poker table needing two cards for a flush and getting it.
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